Island in the SPY

As you can see on my candlestick chart below, Wednesday’s gap down negative black candle line left all of September’s price action as an island reversal pattern.

S&P 500 chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff h/t stockcharts.com

This price picture implies the likelihood, but not the certainty of a trend change.  The key going forward will be to see how the venerable index behaves on a rebound attempt to fill the gap.  The aged bull market may be tired and we are in a distinct time period of risk.

I see overhead resistance (supply) waiting at $291.50-$295.49, basis the close.

Underlying support (demand) from today’s positive session is at $284.82-$289.12.

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Best regards,

Steve

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