Options Hotline Reco Update, FYI:

qqq chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

+215% in a month and a half on our recommended QQQ March $215 put, with an always known and strictly limited risk!

Patience tends to pay.  In today’s session, another failed rebound attempt sent stocks sharply lower again.  We’re on watch for signs of a turn.  But, as you can see on my daily candlestick chart above, the very negative character of market price movement is pointing to the likelihood of lower prices ahead.

It was a rough day for many market participants, but not too shabby for our readers who used puts for protection.

Our recommended put option on the Nasdaq-100 index was triggered in mid-January at $4.29 and closed today at $13.50.

Subscribe to Options Hotline today to stay a step ahead of the crowd.

Best regards,

Steve

P.S.  Keep calm and wash your hands.

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

mack truck

h/t macktrucks.com

“More data — such as paying attention to the eye colors of the people around when crossing the street — can make you miss the big truck.”
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Successful speculation is as much about honing your survival skills as it is finding winning trades.

Don’t suffer paralysis from over-analysis.

Pick the indicators you like best and use them.

That can can help you stay a step ahead of the crowd.

Subscribe to Options Hotline today, to see how we use puts for protection.

Best regards,

Steve

Elevator, Going Down

qqq chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

In today’s session, an early rebound was swamped by selling.  As you can see on my daily chart above, the Qs settled sharply lower.  Today’s strongly negative candle shows the elevator (see our previous post) is going down.

Our recommended protective puts were far “out-of-the-money,” trading just a week ago at a scant $.61.  Today, not so much, they traded at $6.70.

Patience tends to pay.

Subscribe to Options Hotline today to stay a step ahead of the crowd as you vie for fun and profit.

Best regards,

Steve

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

“Embrace selloffs because that’s when the market gives you its best clues.”
— Joseph Fahmy, @jfahmy

Keeping your eyes open to developing divergence between the action of individual stocks and the market can provide powerful information.

If a stock is holding up well while all around are down sharply, that tells you something good.

Best regards,

Steve

Law of Gravity

spce chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

Early today, shares of Virgin Galactic (SPCE) continued their rocket rise.

The SPCE April $20 call option I recommended to subscribers (see yesterday’s blog post and the 02-09-20 Options Hotline) for $2.50 reached a value of $18.72 today, +649% in a little over a week.

But markets don’t move in one direction.  Even though shares were up from Friday, the character of today’s price movement is actually negative.  See my chart above for today’s black candle line with an upper shadow.  That shows price falling from the high of the day and implies the likelihood of a coming move lower to levels of underlying support (demand).

It’s important to remember the law of gravity applies to markets.

If buyers are exhausted from a hyperbolic rise, SPCE will get burned on re-entry.

A wild ride, indeed.

Best regards,

Steve

 

 

Outta Space

spce chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

I hope you’re all enjoying the Presidents’ Day holiday.

FYI: This past week, call options on Virgin Galactic quadrupled.

The header for my most-recent recommendation to our subscribers (see 02-09-20 Options Hotline) was, “Outta Space.”  It was a subtle tribute to Billy Preston’s funky 1971 instrumental track, which your then 13-year old editor saw him perform with the Rolling Stones during one of their 1975 shows at Madison Square Garden.

billy preston

Billy Preston, circa 1975

My idea was that shares of Virgin Galactic (SPCE) were set to launch another leg higher.  Here was my chart from that bulletin.

spce chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

With SPCE at $18.93, the option I was eyeing closed $2.45 bid at $2.55. I recommended the SPCE April $20 call for $2.50 or less.  The option expiration date was April 17th.

As you can see on the chart at the top of this post, shares rocketed higher from my reco point A.  SPCE closed Friday at $28.68.

The low trade for my recommended option was $2.56, on Monday the 10th, so my recommended trade was not officially triggered.

I prefer using limit orders for entry, because you always know your risk.

The option closed Friday the 14th at $10.00, quite a Valentine’s gift for those who bought anyway.

By week’s end the Superleverage power, available only to option buyers, was on display.

Congrats to those who profited.  If you didn’t get it, don’t worry.

There’s always opportunity in options.

Best regards,

Steve

The Tragedian

The Tragedian by Tracy & Steven

The banana went for $120k.  The Constitution is going for much more.

Our little Presidents’ Day art project:

It’s our answer to last year’s viral piece, “The Comedian.”

2019 and 2020 by Tracy & Steven

Vote!

Thanks and best regards,

Steve