A Note On Volume

Volume can be a useful tool for traders.  Trading volume tallies the number of shares (for equities) or contracts (for futures) traded on a given day.

Price is king, but volume can indicate the force behind a price move.  This provides valuable information.

For example, on our daily candlestick chart of JPM below, note that over the past few weeks, volume (overlaid on the chart) on down days (black bars) has been greater than volume on rebounds (red bars).

JPM chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff h/t stockcharts.com

Low volume on a rebound is not a good sign.  It tells me the bounce is more of a short-covering rally and adds weight to the evidence in favor of a continuation lower.

As with all indicators, there is no certainty; there is only probability.

Subscribe to Options Hotline today to vie for fun and profit.

Best regards,

Steve

 

Don’t Chase

JPM price chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

Options Hotline Update, FYI: Our JP Morgan Chase reco closed +41% in 1 day on a 2% move in the underlying shares, with an always known and strictly limited risk!

That’s Superleverage Power on Display.

Our recommended option trade for subscribers, the JPM December $110 put, triggered yesterday at $2.70 and closed today at $3.80.

JPM closed today’s session eyeing its recent low and a potential visit to the area of its August nadir.  The big banks are getting beaten down.

Resistance is now at $112.41-$114 and $116-$120.  Support is at $109-$110 and $103-$107.

Is that the type of options action you’re looking for?

I’m now in my 21st year at the helm, as the newsletter created by my father approaches its 31st year of publication.

Subscribe to Options Hotline today to vie for fun and profit.

Best regards,

Steve

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

Starbucks stock price chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff h/t stockcharts.com

“Seeing lots of trendlines being drawn these days.  Please note that trendlines need at least three valid touches to be significant.”
— Walter Deemer, @WalterDeemer

An up trendline is drawn by connecting higher lows.  It represents support and may exert a positive influence on price.  A down trendline is drawn by connecting lower highs.  It represents resistance and may exert a negative influence on price.

As you can see above, on my daily candlestick chart of Starbucks (SBUX), trendlines provide important information, especially when they are tested.  They are not drawn in stone, but are valuable arrows in a chartist’s quiver.

Remember, even in these days of computer-driven algorithmic trading, technical analysis is as much art as science.

Options Hotline is quickly approaching its 31st year of publication and my 21st at the helm.  Time sure flies.  If you’d like to see how we combine the best of western technical analysis with ancient Japanese charting techniques to generate great options gains from small stock moves, subscribe today!

Best regards,

Steve

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

“Looks like everyone who wouldn’t touch energy/financial/value stocks with a ten-foot pole last week bought a 20-foot pole over the weekend.”
— Walter Deemer, @WalterDeemer

We’ll see if stocks can clear their late-July highs.  They are certainly giving it a go.

Like the pole vaulter, make sure you have protection underneath for the influence of gravity.

Best regards,

Steve

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

beyond meat

Daily candlestick chart of Beyond Meat by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

“Parabolic advances usually carry further than you think, but they do not correct by going sideways.”
— Bob Farrell

I get a kick out of the wild success of Beyond Meat’s IPO sparking scorn from analysts excoriating the “fake meat” company’s market cap exceeding that of larger and more established enterprises like Conagra.

Hah, they don’t see the future of food charted clearly before them.

For you, the animals, and the planet, Go Vegan!

Subscriber Note: We’re on the road and offline much of this week, headed up to the mountains for some fresh air and apple pie.

Best regards,

Steve

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

“Now that we found love what are we gonna do with it?”
— Kenny Gamble and Leon Huff

We enjoyed seeing Third World perform their 1978 hit cover of the song, originally performed by the O’Jays, at the San Diego Reggae Vegan Fest.

You find price direction, but what do you do with it?  Speculation may be simple, but it’s not easy. At Options Hotline, we’ve been helping our subscribers play and sensibly speculate for more than 30 years!

Our most recent recommendation on Verizon triggered on this morning’s open and traded +48% in a single session on a 2% move in the underlying shares, with an always known and strictly limited risk!

Irie!

We email our picks on Sunday evenings.  If that’s the kind of options action you’re looking for, subscribe to Options Hotline today.

Best regards,

Steve

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

Superleverage, it’s the only sensible way to speculate.”
— Paul Sarnoff

With Comic-Con in town, this struck me as a natural subject.  Superleverage is the art of profiting from changing prices, with limited risk AT ALL TIMES, without ever getting a margin call, asked to put up additional funds, or forced to liquidate your position.

The instruments of Superleverage are exchange traded put and call options.

Buyers of puts and calls are the ONLY ONES who possess the full profit power of Superleverage.

The Superleverage power of our method was on display again today, as our call on Barrick Gold Corp. (GOLD) closed +296% in a month, with an always known and strictly limited risk!

The underlying shares have made a nice move, from $13.89 to $17.35, propelling our recommended GOLD September $14 call option from $85 to $337!

If this is the type of options action you’re looking for, subscribe to Options Hotline today.

Best regards,

Steve

 

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

gold pan

Photo credit: Paperny Entertainment

“Finding winners, especially big winners, is a process of discovery.  The losing trades are an integral part of that process.”
— Peter Brandt, @PeterLBrandt

Our recommended call option on Barrick Gold (GOLD), triggered 06-17-19 at $85, traded this morning at $280, +229% in less than a month, with an always known and strictly limited risk!

If that’s the type of options action you’re looking for, subscribe to Options Hotline today.

Best regards,

Steve

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

Gold chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

“Folks using intraday charts to call the top of a gold move that is unfolding on monthly charts is hilarious.  Y’all are doing it backwards!”
— Chris Carolan, @spiralcal

Options Hotline Update, FYI: Our recommended Father’s Day call on Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD), emailed Sunday evening to our subscribers, triggered 06-17-19 at $85 with GOLD at $13.86, traded 06-21-19 at $206 with GOLD at $15.68, +142% in 4 days on a 13% move in the underlying shares, with an always known and strictly limited risk!

That’s the Superleverage power of my method on display.  If this is the type of options action you’re looking for, subscribe to Options Hotline today to see how we stay a step ahead of the crowd.

The character of the behavior of price movement in gold is telling us a big longer-term breakout is in play.  Former resistance (supply) now represents underlying support (demand).  The strong red candles on my weekly chart above depict this vividly.

It’s important to view price movement from different time perspectives: monthly, weekly, and daily.  Consider the lines of average price movement, along with price movement irrespective of time and you begin to approach a complete picture.

Best regards,

Steve