Goodyear Deflated

Goodyear Blimp Deflated

Goodyear Blimp Deflated

Goodyear Tire issued an earnings warning and shares drove south.  Today the overall market extended its rally, albeit on light volume.  As I recently wrote, we may be approaching a turn.

When the market is up and the shares you’re watching are not, that is a sign of weakness.  The opposite is true, as well.  When individual shares are up in a down market, it’s a sign of their strength.

As you can see below, Goodyear literally left a skid mark on my daily candlestick chart.

Chart by Steven Sarnoff

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

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On the Lookout to SPY a Turn

Owls looking out

Owls on the lookout, h/t NatGeo

This morning, SPY (S&P 500 ETF) continues its rebound on light trading volume. Buyers are following through from Friday’s strength, extending their immediate-term edge.  But until proven otherwise by price, this may be considered a countertrend rally.  Sellers are laying in wait.

Volume indicates the force behind a price move.  Low volume questions the staying power of this action.  Where can we expect sellers to be enticed?

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Your Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

David and Emily from David Copperfield

David and Emily from David Copperfield – Art by Frank Reynolds, h/t Wikimedia Commons

“Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen nineteen six, result happiness.  Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty ought and six, result misery.”
— Charles Dickens, David Copperfield

Yep.

Options can often be inexpensive.  But before you trade, be sure you have the financial tolerance for risk required to participate.

You should only speculate with risk capital.  That’s money you can afford to lose without changing your lifestyle.  Do not trade with money you need to live.

Speculate based on what you can lose, not what you can gain.

You may then vie for fun and profit using the service of Options Hotline and the tools of sensible speculation, exchange-traded put and call options.

Wishing you and the San Diego LA Chargers good luck and a Sunday Funday!

Best regards,

Steve

Options Hotline 2018 Performance Review

by Steven Sarnoff

With 2019 trading just underway, let’s take a moment to review Option Hotline’s 2018 performance record.

2018 was a tough year for many market participants, but not too shabby for Options Hotline readers who followed a complete game plan for trading success.  The S&P 500 was -6.20%, its worst year in a decade.  This included the worst December since 1931!

As you can see from our track record below, Options Hotline recommendations were +36.50% in 2018.  Nearly 7x better than the S&P 500 is commensurate for the high risk options buyers take on.

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All ATwitter

Latest Options Hotline Reco, +42% In A Single Session

by Steven Sarnoff

This past Sunday, I emailed our great subscribers my Options Hotline bulletin.  As to the market I wrote, “We could see exaggerated swings in both directions…,” and recommended buying the Twitter January $32 call option for $1.90 or less good this week.  As usual, I included my Candlestick chart, info on support, resistance, price objective, and rationale for the reco.

When trading resumed, Trump’s tweets bout his lovely dinner in Argentina with Xi had Financial talking heads and buyers all atwitter.  Bulls ran the market up early on Monday, but reality ensued and stocks started to slip.  Twitter fared well and our entry price was not met.  The low trade in the option was $2.25.   Tuesday saw the option trade up to $3.30, before shares of the global self-expression platform declined with the overall market.  Sellers stepped up and buyers stood aside.  I only consider a recommendation triggered if it trades at or below our recommended price during the week.

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A Step Ahead, Covering Our XLF Play

Grabbing Great Gains Before Financials Fall

by Steven Sarnoff

Japanese Candlestick charts are a superior way to depict market price movement, because they vividly depict and reveal the human behavior (buying and selling) that drives price direction.  They often send up early warning signs of coming turns in price.  The chart is never wrong, only the analysis.

On a day when the Financial sector took it on the chin and fell hard, our readers are glad they were able to grab their gains (+82% in a little over a month) before many market participants felt the pain.  With markets closed tomorrow, here’s a walk through how we exited a step ahead of the crowd.

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Debriefing The OptionSellers Debacle

James Courdier h/t YouTube

Risk/Reward Basics Bypassed In Hedge Fund Blowup

by Steven Sarnoff

Last week, news of a hedge fund blowup spread over financial media.  On the wrong side of sharp moves in energy markets, James Courdier, OptionSellers.com money manager, notified his clients that all is lost.  His Tampa-based options firm sent millions of dollars down the drain.  He put out a pathetic, insufferable, ten-minute apology video, placing blame on a “rogue wave,” which capsized their boat.

No.

His blaming a rogue wave is a tidal wave of baloney.

Checking the markets with a glass of wine isn’t piloting the ship properly.  Successful speculation takes knowledge, discipline, courage, and hard work.

Here are a couple key lessons you can glean from the OptionSellers disaster, so you can avoid getting tossed overboard.

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Printing Multiplier Profits In 3D

Printing Profits, Not Guns, in 3D

by Steven Sarnoff

OPTIONS HOTLINE Update, FYI: +241% in a month and a half on our recommended 3D ($DDD) calls. This morning, I sent a Profit Alert to our subscribers. 3D Systems Corp. is topping the market’s biggest gainers list, trading sharply higher following a Q2 earnings beat. While shorts are squeezed, as investors and analysts rush in, our great subscribers calmly book their gains. They are seeing their patience pay and their trade triple.

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Our Disney Trade On Ice

How Options Hotline subscribers are feeling this afternoon

by Steven Sarnoff

“It’s kind of fun to do the impossible.” — Walt Disney

OPTIONS HOTLINE Update, FYI: +125% in 2 weeks on less than a 5% move in Disney, with an always known and strictly limited risk!  This morning, ahead of an upcoming quarterly earnings report, I emailed a Profit Alert to my nimble #OptionsHotline subscribers.

They bought our recommended $DIS call at point A. and sold at point B. From 07-23-18 to 08-06-18, $DIS went from $111 to $116 and our option went from $200 to $450.

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Is TRIP Headed South?

tripadvislogo

by Steven Sarnoff

Markets don’t move down a one-way street. The news of record-setting stock prices Mr. Trump is so fond of touting hasn’t been booked by this Internet darling. As you can see by my daily candlestick chart of TripAdvisor shares, the online travel brand company settled today’s session pointing south.

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