Land of Hope and Dreams

Seeing financial media report the market up sharply this morning, on hope for big Pharma progress in the fight against Covid-19, had me thinking of the great song above by Bruce Springsteen and the E Street Band.

Reports such as that trigger my contrarian senses.

The character of the behavior of market price movement actually has us quite skeptical.  Don’t be surprised to see stocks move south.

Subscribe to Options Hotline today to stay a step ahead of the crowd.

Stay smart and stay safe.

As Bruce sings, “Tomorrow there’ll be sunshine and all this darkness past.”

Best regards,

Steve

 

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

UCSD Geisel Library

UC San Diego’s Geisel Library, h/t sandiegomagazine.com

“You will come to a place where the streets are not marked.
Some windows are lighted. But mostly they’re darked.
A place you could sprain both your elbow and chin!
Do you dare stay out? Do you dare go in?
How much can you lose? How much can you win?

And IF you go in, should you turn left or right…
or right-and-three-quarters? Or, maybe, not quite?
Or go around back and sneak in from behind?
Simple it’s not, I’m afraid you will find,
for a mind-maker-upper to make up his mind.”
— Dr. Seuss, Oh The Places You’ll Go!

Jobsmacked

jobless claims

h/t Yahoo Finance

job·smacked
/ˈjäbˌsmakt/
adjectiveinformal•American
adjective: jobsmacked; adjective: job-smacked
 

Economists and markets utterly astonished; astounded by skyrocketing U.S. initial jobless claims data

This morning’s release of weekly initial jobless claims, by the Department of Labor, was double economists’ estimates.

The pre-market no likey.

Jobsmacked

Reaction to seeing the coming jobs data,

“You’re gonna need a bigger boat.”
Jaws (1975)

jobless claims

Initial jobless claims and recessions

When they look back to add the shading for this widespread economic downturn, they should make it a darker shade of gray.

The other recessions were mere minnows.

But know that the seas will calm and the sun will shine again, at some point.

Be kind, compassionate, patient, and positive.

Best regards,

Steve

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

“Embrace selloffs because that’s when the market gives you its best clues.”
— Joseph Fahmy, @jfahmy

Keeping your eyes open to developing divergence between the action of individual stocks and the market can provide powerful information.

If a stock is holding up well while all around are down sharply, that tells you something good.

Best regards,

Steve