This morning, we are seeing support for stocks being tested. As the Trump reflation trade loses air, will shaky support give way? In my opinion, it will.
Following the election, the market was juiced on big bets that Trumponomic policies would boost US growth and inflation, hurting T-bond prices (lifting bond yields). Well, what have we seen? In the wake of Yellen and crew’s action on interest rates, GOP failure to reach a consensus and the abrupt end to health care legislation, and Mr. Trump’s rocky Beltway honeymoon, bond prices have been rising (yields falling). Continue reading