h is for holy $#*!

Micron stock chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff h/t stockcharts.com

Options Hotline reco update, FYI: +35% in a single session on our Micron puts!

Sensible speculators seek to buy options that will move from “out-of-the-money” to “in-the-money.”  That’s where the greatest gains are made and that’s what our most recent recommendation (see 03-31-20 Options Hotline) did today.

The Micron June $40 put triggered at $3.75 and subsequently traded as high as $5.05, +35% in a single session, with an always known and strictly limited risk!

As you can see on my daily candlestick chart above, Micron, appears to be tracing out a potential “h” pattern. That’s where price has a sharp decline, followed by a bounce that rolls over and points to a likely test of the recent lows.  This bearish price pattern closely resembles a lower case “h.”  It’s counterpart is the bullish “y” pattern.

We recommended puts on Micron, because the character of the behavior of MU’s share price turned negative at resistance (supply).  We are looking for a move toward secondary support (demand) in the low-$30s.  The price action moving forward will tell us a lot about who the stronger force (buyers or sellers) really is.

I can’t guarantee all my recos will get triggered on the low or go on to reach multiplier status, but I do promise to continue to do my best to find options winners for my great subscribers.

If this is the kind of options action you are looking for, subscribe today to stay a step ahead of the crowd.

Best regards,

Steve

Keeping a Steady Hand

steady ship in rough sea

h/t vantageasia.com

Options Hotline Update, today’s new highs, FYI:

+1,036% on TLT puts in two weeks and

+1,033% on QQQ puts in two months!

Strong sell-offs in both stocks and bonds have sent our recommended option plays soaring.

The TLT September $140 put (see 03-01-20 Options Hotline), triggered 03-03-20 at $1.25, traded 03-18-20 at $14.20.

The QQQ March $215 put (see 01-12-20 Options Hotline), triggered 01-13-20 at $4.29, traded 03-18-20 at $48.60…

..with an always known and strictly limited risk!

That is the Superleverage power of my method on display.

I can’t guarantee that all my recos will multiply like these two, but I do promise to do my best to find options winners for you.

Now in our 31st year of publication, we keep a steady hand on the tiller to help you navigate rough and uncertain market conditions.

Subscribe to Options Hotline today to stay a step ahead of the crowd.

Stay safe and take care.

Best regards,

Steve

Our Put Answers the Call

qqq chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

Multiplying Nearly 11x in 2 Months!

That’s the Superleverage Power of our Method on Display

+995% in just over 2 months on our recommended QQQ put, with an always known and strictly limited risk!

Another historically poor day for the stock market was not too shabby for Options Hotline subscribers.  Our recommended put option put on quite a performance, providing our readers with protection and profits.

You can see the market’s downside acceleration on my daily chart above.

Triggered 01-13-20 at $4.29 (see 01-12-20 Options Hotline),

the QQQ March $215 put traded 03-16-20 at $46.99, +995%!

I can’t guarantee that all my recos will multiply like the Qs, but I do promise to do my best to find options winners for you.

Now in our 31st year of publication, we keep a steady hand on the tiller to help you navigate rough and uncertain market conditions.

Subscribe to Options Hotline today to stay a step ahead of the crowd.

Take care.

Best regards,

Steve

The Power of Puts

qqq chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

+787% in 2 months on our recommended QQQ put, with an always known and strictly limited risk!

On January 12th, Options Hotline subscribers received my email bulletin headed “Puts for Protection.”  As you can see on my weekly candlestick chart above, the Nasdaq-100 index ETF was heading higher.  I saw signs of a turning period on my daily chart and recommended our readers use the Superleverage power of put options to position for protection and profit.

Techs were trounced again today, but our recommended puts are diligently doing their job.

Triggered 01-13-20 at $4.29, the QQQ March $215 put reached an intrinsic value of $38.06 on 03-12-20, +787% multiplying nearly 9x in 2 months,with an always known and strictly limited risk!

I can’t guarantee that all my recos will multiply like the Qs, but I do promise to do my best to find options winners for you.

Subscribe to Options Hotline today to stay a step ahead of the crowd.

Good luck tomorrow, Friday the 13th, and stay safe.

Best regards,

Steve

Elevator, Going Down

qqq chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

In today’s session, an early rebound was swamped by selling.  As you can see on my daily chart above, the Qs settled sharply lower.  Today’s strongly negative candle shows the elevator (see our previous post) is going down.

Our recommended protective puts were far “out-of-the-money,” trading just a week ago at a scant $.61.  Today, not so much, they traded at $6.70.

Patience tends to pay.

Subscribe to Options Hotline today to stay a step ahead of the crowd as you vie for fun and profit.

Best regards,

Steve

Law of Gravity

spce chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

Early today, shares of Virgin Galactic (SPCE) continued their rocket rise.

The SPCE April $20 call option I recommended to subscribers (see yesterday’s blog post and the 02-09-20 Options Hotline) for $2.50 reached a value of $18.72 today, +649% in a little over a week.

But markets don’t move in one direction.  Even though shares were up from Friday, the character of today’s price movement is actually negative.  See my chart above for today’s black candle line with an upper shadow.  That shows price falling from the high of the day and implies the likelihood of a coming move lower to levels of underlying support (demand).

It’s important to remember the law of gravity applies to markets.

If buyers are exhausted from a hyperbolic rise, SPCE will get burned on re-entry.

A wild ride, indeed.

Best regards,

Steve

 

 

Outta Space

spce chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

I hope you’re all enjoying the Presidents’ Day holiday.

FYI: This past week, call options on Virgin Galactic quadrupled.

The header for my most-recent recommendation to our subscribers (see 02-09-20 Options Hotline) was, “Outta Space.”  It was a subtle tribute to Billy Preston’s funky 1971 instrumental track, which your then 13-year old editor saw him perform with the Rolling Stones during one of their 1975 shows at Madison Square Garden.

billy preston

Billy Preston, circa 1975

My idea was that shares of Virgin Galactic (SPCE) were set to launch another leg higher.  Here was my chart from that bulletin.

spce chart

Chart by Steven Sarnoff, h/t stockcharts.com

With SPCE at $18.93, the option I was eyeing closed $2.45 bid at $2.55. I recommended the SPCE April $20 call for $2.50 or less.  The option expiration date was April 17th.

As you can see on the chart at the top of this post, shares rocketed higher from my reco point A.  SPCE closed Friday at $28.68.

The low trade for my recommended option was $2.56, on Monday the 10th, so my recommended trade was not officially triggered.

I prefer using limit orders for entry, because you always know your risk.

The option closed Friday the 14th at $10.00, quite a Valentine’s gift for those who bought anyway.

By week’s end the Superleverage power, available only to option buyers, was on display.

Congrats to those who profited.  If you didn’t get it, don’t worry.

There’s always opportunity in options.

Best regards,

Steve

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

oil painting sea of fog

Casper David Friedrich’s 1818 oil painting, Wanderer Above the Sea of Fog

“As a practitioner of uncertainty I have seen more than my share of snake-oil salesmen dressed in the garb of scientists, particularly those operating in economics.”
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Fooled by Randomness

Trading options is to practice uncertainty.  The painting above represents my view of work each day.

The characteristics of a successful trader are: knowledge, discipline, courage, and hard work.

Then it’s up to luck.

Options Hotline is in its 31st year of publication, helping sensible speculators vie for fun and profit by providing specific, actionable information and recommendations.

Subscribe today to join our readers, navigating uncertain markets and staying a step ahead of the crowd.

Best regards,

Steve

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

Outsiders

h/t AP Photo / Warner Bros.

Look for options that are set to move from “out-of-the-money” to “in-the-money.”  That is where your greatest returns are made.

You should only trade options with risk capital (money you can afford to lose) and only if you understand options.

Out-of-the-money options have no intrinsic (real) value.  Their premium (price) is for time and volatility only.

In-the-money options have intrinsic value plus time value.

Now in our 31st year of publication, Options Hotline readers apply our Superleverage strategy to make great options gains from small stock moves, with an always known and completely limited risk.

Subscribe to Options Hotline today to stay a step ahead of the crowd.

Best regards,

Steve

Your Almost Daily Bit of Wall Street Wit & Wisdom

“Intelligence consists in ignoring things that are irrelevant.”
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Now in our 31st year of publication, we do our best to filter out the noise.  At Options Hotline, we combine the best of western technical analysis with my expertise in applying ancient Japanese charting techniques to today’s markets.

I base my analysis and outlook on the character of the behavior of market price movement.

That is important.

To profit from my knowledge based on experience, subscribe to Options Hotline today.

Good luck in your trading!

Best regards,

Steve